Gibson, who died last October, finished with 3,117. Jos Ramirez, third base (32.8 career | 31.5 Peak | 32.1 JAWS, +4.0 JAWS). Ive lost track. Adam Wainwright, however, is a little bit trickier. The slugger hit .274 with 32 homers and 97 RBIs in 160 games last year. The starting pitcher, who will enter his 19th season with the Cards, was drafted by the Atlanta Braves. Adam Wainwright in 2021 His lifetime ERA is 3.35 and has dropped nearly a tenth of a point over the last two seasons. 9 mo. Maybe he has it in him to stick around for another 20 wins to get to 200, but he might not even crack the top 100 in JAWS while doing so. He produced the worst set of metrics in a full season in his career. Prices highlights include a 2012 Cy Young award, two ERA titles, and five 200-strikeout seasons. Adam Wainwright joined Hall of Famer Bob Gibson as the only St. Louis Cardinals pitchers with 2,000 strikeouts, fanning Milwaukee's Luis Uras in the fourth inning Thursday. Bernie has hosted radio shows in St. Louis, Dallas, Baltimore and Washington D.C. Bernie, his wife Kirsten and their cats reside in the Skinker-DeBaliviere neighborhood of St. Louis. Hall of Very Good. No Cy's (albeit 4 top 3 finishes). All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. Sabermetrics lover. Its an unfortunate injury that was sustained to of all places his throwing shoulder. I highly doubt it. After doing some [strength] assessments, its something he can solve. Adam Wainwright, is probably not a Hall of Famer and his 36.7 JAWS likely shouldn't be used as the new . 55 votes, 66 comments. A Hall of Fame-bound pitcher is slated to take the mound in the top of the first inning of tonights NL wild card game. One other thing to note: since my reference point for old WAR and JAWS figures dates back to January 2021, some portion of these players gains may be due to updates to bWAR itself, particularly via changes to 19 and 20 park factors and tweaks to 201720 Defensive Runs Saved that were announced in March, but also due to a second update to 2020 park factors that just went live on Tuesday. Strikeouts are booming like never before. Assuming he pitches in 2022, a year in which I am assuming Major League Baseball will indeed be played, which he has already announced will be his last, Wainwrights first round of Hall of Fame votes would not even be revealed until 2028. Your login session has expired. It's not the be-all end-all but his baseball reference kind of shows that he really shouldn't make it. On one hand, its spring training and a lot of pitchers get pounded early in exhibition games as they prepare for the run-up to the regular season. He was hit hard four balls hit off him registered exit velocities higher than 104 mph, including a 112.1 mph solo moonshot of a homer off the bat of Jos Abreu. An Alternate Hall of Fame populated by a mathematical formula. The greatest lineups ever? 2023 Minute Media - All Rights Reserved. In the five innings Wainwright yielded eight hits and four earned runs for a 7.20 ERA. Hes actually been tougher to hit than in any season since 2016, but his 14% walk rate has created more traffic than ever, and hes blown five of 35 save chances, though three of those were in consecutive outings in mid-July, accounting for seven of the 16 earned runs hes allowed. MLB starting pitcher who won a World Series Championship with the St. Louis Cardinals in 2006 and was a member of the Cardinals . No ones winning 300 games again, probably, Maybe there will be a couple guys that have a chance Claytons got a chance, Max maybe. His contract with Washington will keep him in a uniform through 2021, and by then, he should have a strong case. Adam's parents had a rocky marriage, and they split up when he was around seven years old. Its early, its the process, hell be ready to go when its time to go. He went 119-66 with a 2.96 ERA from 2007-15, a span in which only Kershaw had a lower ERA among pitchers with at least 1,000 innings pitched. He has a $217 million contract with the Boston Red Sox, and to make the Hall of Fame, he may need another Cy Young award and a dominant performance in a World Series championship. No Gavin Lux -- big problem. His sinker averaged 84.9 mph, a 3.7 percent decrease from 2022. Terms of Service. Hes pitched for five teams in two different leagues, which is unusual for a pitcher with such a successful resume. Madison Bumgarner is still just 27 years old, but hes already etched his name into baseball lore as one of the greatest big-game pitchers of all-time. The ageless Bartolo Colon leads all active pitchers with 235, CC Sabathia is next at 230, and then its down to John Lackey at 180. This is a question that has been frequently raised throughout the season as the Cardinals' 'Big Three' (Pujols, Wainwright, Molina) were constantly praised by St. Louis fans. DRS changes, injuries, and the shortened season have dealt the slugging third basemans case a set of blows in recent years, making it even harder to overcome his late start. Adam Wainwright Future Hall of Fame Candidates: N.L. Verlanders resume is impressive; hes led the league in strikeouts four times, wins twice, won a pitching triple crown, and thrown two no-hitters. Adam Wainwright (44.0 career | 35.5 Peak | 39.8 JAWS, +2.1 JAWS). Upon losing in the Wild Card round, the franchise's attention shifted to the offseason and what will happen to some of their aging players. But if it wasn't for . Even if he retired now, Verlander has likely done enough to ensure a plaque in Cooperstown. Wainwright was a three time All Star and two time Gold Glove winner, finishing in the top three of the NL Cy Young vote four times. Adam Wainwright is the quintessential "Hall of Fame candidate for Cardinals fans" Hall of Fame candidate of the current team. The only active pitchers behind Wainwright (2,375 2/3) in the 2,000-inning club are 36-year-old David Price (2,103 1/3), 35-year-old Johnny Cueto (2,034 1/3) and 32-year-old Madison Bumgarner (2,034). On Wednesday, I took a swing at a question often asked of me: Which players have helped their Hall of Fame cases the most this year? Its not like hes been injury-prone; Price has led the league in games started three times and innings pitched twice. Next, select your favourite teams and leagues and well show you their latest news and scores in the My Favourites section of the home page. But at least it wont be historically egregious. He had a 4.99 ERA in his last 11 starts in 2022 including a 7.22 ERA in his final six starts. Hey, at least the Cardinals added a proven, quality big-league starting pitcher this past offseason. It was almost a storybook season for the St. Louis Cardinals as club legends Adam Wainwright, Albert Pujols, and Yadier Molina were reunited and looked primed for a deep postseason run. Of course, theres no prorating stats when it comes to evaluating Hall of Fame candidates, and so Wainwright appeared to be in the company of the likes of Roy Oswalt Wainwrights most similar pitcher per Baseball-Reference.com Cliff Lee and former teammate Chris Carpenter as pitchers who had terrific peaks but lacked the length for serious Cooperstown consideration. . If he misses the first week or so, no big deal. While Drew was a fine player throughout his career, he would only spend the 2004 season with the Braves. He leads MLB in complete games this season at the age of 40, and is MLB's active leader in complete games with 27. He has been a recurring guest on MLB Network and a member of the BBWAA since 2011. Only Price (2018) and Bumgarner (2019) have pitched enough to qualify for an ERA title once since the 2017 season. Guerrero is on the Dominican Republic roster for this months World Baseball Classic. Given the way hes been pitching as of late, thats certainly not farfetched. Hes certainly on pace for the Hall, but a lot of it will depend on how he can rebound following his off-the-field motorcycle accident. The 35-year-old has a career record of 169-89 with a 3.19 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 2,682 strikeouts. But over the last three seasons, Jack has pitched only 154 innings. Adam Wainwright was born on the 30th of August, 1981. Moving to Adam Wainwright, the 40-year-old moved into second in pitching WAR (again, as calculated by Baseball Reference) last season, and that is where he will stay. The oldest and wisest twin. This will undoubtedly hurt Wainwright's bid for the Hall of Fame. 2020 has given us many. After nearly two seasons in the wilderness, he regained his dominant form with the Cubs, and while hes scuffled since being traded to the White Sox while pitching in a setup role in front of Liam Hendriks, his 2.02 ERA, 2.24 FIP, and 43.2% strikeout rate make this his best season since 2017 and put him in line for another substantial free-agent payday if the White Sox decline his $16 million club option. Ill assume that FanGraphss weirdly defensive stance against Wainwrights pursuit of bulletin board material has subsided by then. They cited various ailments that impacted Wainos performance. He's a hell of a pitcher and even better human being. In fairness, the Cardinals are correct in their initial thinking. Wainwright went 41-28 with a 4.58 ERA (an ERA+ of 90, or 10 percent below league average) from 2016 through 2019. Hes produced 5.0 WAR with his pitching but -0.6 WAR with his hitting with a remarkable .000/.000/.000 line taking this no-hitter thing a bit too literally through 50 PA; on Wednesday night, he surpassed Wei-Yin Chens record for season-opening futility, set in 2016. Even if he is able to reach the 200 win threshold, will Wainwright find himself enshrined in the Baseball Hall of Fame? All stats used here were sourced from FanGraphs, Baseball Reference, Stathead, Bill James Online, Fielding Bible, Baseball Prospectus, Baseball Savant, Brooks Baseball Net and Spotrac. Now his current difficulties are being downplayed because the leg/glute tightness, the back spasms, the finger. King Felix is still just 31 years old, despite close to 2,500 innings on his right arm. Seconds later, told his numbers stack up well to wild card-era pitchers who are either already enshrined or have solid Hall of Fame cases, the famously good-natured Wainwright a night removed from saying he struck out Jeff McNeil looking to leave the bases loaded because I like nostalgia and he wanted to give Mets fans what they want grinned again. Kimbrel has an option for next year, which I think is likely to be exercised, so he wont be a free agent until 2023. Josh Donaldson, third base (43.8 career | 41.2 Peak | 42.5 JAWS, +1.5 JAWS). He made his 55 million dollar fortune with All-Star, St. Louis Cardinals, NL wins leader. On 30-8-1981 Adam Wainwright (nickname: Adam) was born in Brunswick, Georgia, United States. It just was not the type of career that was worthy of the Hall of Fame. Halladay and Martinez combined to win five Cy Youngs had more dominant peaks than Wainwright, but their status as first-ballot Hall of Famers serve as evidence the electorate is already modifying its standards for Hall-worthy starting pitchers. The 40-year-old right-hander became the ninth active pitcher with 2,000. The pandemic-shortened 2020 campaign, in which Wainwright went 5-3 with a 3.15 ERA in 10 starts, amounted to a fourth lost season for the right-hander, who missed all of 2011 recovering from Tommy John surgery and made just seven appearances (four starts) due to a torn Achilles in 2015 before he was limited to eight starts by right elbow inflammation in 2018. This year, however, the biggest stars of Opening Day will be three players in Cardinals jerseys who all have legitimate shots of someday being in baseball's Hall of Fame themselves. Price (155 wins) is the only active pitcher within 30 wins of Wainwright, with Cueto (135) and Bumgarner (127) much further behind. Still, Hernandez has quite a resume over the last decade hes been named to six All-Star teams, won 156 games for a perennially-losing franchise that hasnt sniffed the postseason, and hes won a Cy Young award to go with multiple ERA titles. Replacing those lost or disrupted seasons with three average Wainwright seasons a 13-7 mark with 138 strikeouts over 164 innings would have Wainwright at 223-126 with 2,418 strikeouts. 2020 has given us many poor and distasteful things, but it's giving me a glimpse into the future for some wild reason. When Adam Wainwright decides to hang up his cleats, the St.. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. Velocity? He surpassed 200 wins in 2019 (hes at 219 now), but with his strikeout rate dipping from 24.5% last year to 17.0% this year, hes still 201 strikeouts away from 3,000 and will probably need two seasons to reach the milestone instead of one. His 2011 season, in which he went 24-5 with a 2.40 ERA and led the league in a slew of categories wins, ERA, games started, innings pitched, strikeouts, WHIP, adjusted ERA, and hits allowed per nine innings earned him a distinction that hadnt been accomplished since Roger Clemens in 1986. Astros @ Cardinals. Theyll defer. Paul Goldschmidt, first base (49.1 career | 40.6 Peak | 44.9 JAWS, +2.2 JAWS). Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. Adam Wainwright's age is 41. . By either that mark or traditional reliever JAWS, the 33-year-old Kimbrel is the biggest gainer this year. Flaherty is calm. Heres what Bowden wrote: Mozeliak was cautious in his comments and reminded me that the right-hander threw only 36 innings last year. Yadier Molina is arguably one of the best defensive catchers in the history of baseball. Injuries have plagued Adam Wainwright more than the other pitchers on this list; hes going to be 36 in a few months and hes logged just 1,800 innings due to Tommy John surgery (2011) and an Achilles tendon rupture (2015). Only Clemens, Johnson, Carlton and Greg Maddux are the only pitchers who have won more. Has Adam Wainwright done enough to deserve a place in the Hall of Fame? The Hall of Fame should immortalize the greatest starting pitchers of each era. Fantasy baseball: Which prospects have fantasy value in 2023? He has led the league in strikeouts three times, including a 300-strikeout season in 2018. While a Cy Young Award does not guarantee entry, it certainly helps. Adam Wainwright biography. Scherzer and Hernandez are among a group of pitchers at somewhat similar points in their potential Hall of Fame paths; Verlander, Cole Hamels, Zack Greinke, Adam Wainwright and Jon Lester are in . Thats an average of 174 innings per year. As his 136 OPS+ and 26 homers attest, he can still rake even at age 40, but with 443 career dingers, hes two seasons away from reaching 500 (42% odds, via ZiPS). Will the games most enigmatic Hall of Fame candidate, a pending free agent this winter, stick around to get it? But is it a Hall of Fame caliber career? Gerrit Cole (117 wins at age 31) and Chris Sale (114 wins at age 32) are the likeliest active pitchers to approach Wainwrights total. MILWAUKEE Adam Wainwright joins Hall of Famer Bob Gibson as the only St. Louis Cardinals' pitchers with 2,000 strikeouts, fanning Milwaukee's Luis Urias in the fourth inning. Or follow @seeingredpod on Twitter for a direct link. It hasnt moved him very far in the JAWS rankings, but hes nonetheless seventh among active pitchers behind Greinke, the injured Justin Verlander (60.8), Kershaw, Scherzer, and two other pitchers whove effectively taken zeroes in 2020 and 21, Cole Hamels (48.4) and Flix Hernndez (44.3). Adam Wainwright has a big decision to make this offseason. So basically what Im saying is that if Adam Wainwright has a once-every-seventy-five-years season, he should probably make it into Cooperstown. Of course, Wainwright and the Cardinals gave it the nothing to see here treatment. Clayton Kershaw is this generations Sandy Koufax; he could retire right now and hed make the Hall of Fame on the first ballot. I took a look at 10 active starting pitchers with borderline Hall of Fame resumes and broke down their odds of enshrinement. After posting a 3.84 expected ERA in 2022, that metric jumped to 4.53 last season. Follow him on Twitter @jay_jaffe and Mastodon @jay_jaffe. This is the first time since 2010 that all three are in . Wainwright threw his sinker, cutter and curveball the most, and the velocity on all three pitches measured a significant drop-off from last season. 34. He'll retire with honors and accolades, becoming a fine coach and St. Louis area legend. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to follow this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. He just turned 30 on August 7, and hes already fifth in JAWS and third in peak among center fielders, but this has been largely a lost year due to a right calf strain thats already required the longest recovery time in at least six years. He struck out 14 in his MLB debut and it seemed evident that he and Bryce Harper were going to lead the team to not only a World Series championship, but multiple titles. Jansens 30 saves have pushed him to 14th on the all-time list, five away from the next rung and 26 away from cracking the top 10. Sep 14, 2022; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; St. Louis Cardinals starting pitcher Adam Wainwright (50) pitches against the Milwaukee Brewers during the fifth inning at Busch Stadium. It is possible that he ends up as one of those players who hangs around the ballot for his decade of eligibility, getting a boost because of his time in St. Loius, but the only way he ends up in Cooperstown will be with a ticket. Look at that. And hes no slouch in the regular season Bumgarner is a four-time All-Star with a sub-3.00 career ERA, a high career strikeout rate, and hes even connected for 16 home runs at the plate. That being said, the question I had is what a retirement for Adam Wainwright . All Wins Above Replacement and Wins Above Average data comes . Though hes overcome health scares and worked hard to expand his arsenal to become less reliant upon his cutter, Jansen has continued to take Dodgers fans on a rollercoaster this season. Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window), Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window), Click to share on Flipboard (Opens in new window), Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window), Click to email a link to a friend (Opens in new window). Hes got a long ways to go to reach 200 wins (he has 112), but hes already at 2,031 strikeouts. Actually, its two starting pitchers: Jack Flaherty and Adam Wainwright. Albert Pujols is, barring something unforseen, going to easily sail into the National Baseball Hall of FameI always feel the need to add a caveat since uncodified steroid accusations have already kept one of the few modern hitters unreservedly superior to Pujols out of the Hall of Fame, though seeing David Ortiz make it does give me hope that Albert Pujols being a nice guy that everyone in baseball media seems to like would provide sufficient cushion to whatever random conjecture somebody wants to throw out into the discourse. But the guys that have got in recently just have been the best at the craft for a decade, Wainwright said. You may have created an account with another Rogers Media account that can be used to sign in here. The best-of-three series would not go in the Cardinals' favor, falling 2-0 to the eventual World Series participant. Me talking about it is going to inflame some people Hes not a Hall of Famer! Wainwright said. All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. March 2, 2023 | 00:00:10. Adam WainWright's MLB stats are Win-loss record 195-115, Earned run average 3.35 and Strikeouts 2,142. Enter your email below and we'll send you another email. Don't miss out - sign up for our newsletters! He was merely a good pitcher on the Detroit Tigers, vastly overshadowed by teammate Justin Verlander. It's a career that includes 10 All-Star Games, nine Gold Gloves, four Platinum Gloves, two World Series titles and plenty of adulation from the St. Louis area and beyond. Although Gooden was one-and-done when he reached the ballot in 2006, his extraordinary peak meant he probably deserved more of a look. Wainwright has certainly had a long and successful career, but has it been enough to warrant enshirement in the Hall of Fame? But even if we throw 2020 out, Flaherty averaged only 57 innings of work over the last two years. Interestingly enough, he missed the entire 2011 season for the world champion St. Louis Cardinals, but he did play an integral role as a closer in the 2006 playoffs, throwing 9.2 scoreless innings in the playoffs. Hes 28th in R-JAWS, 1.2 points behind the lowest-ranked enshrined reliever (Bruce Sutter), and at age 33, needs to rebound if hes to have a shot at election that is, if voters will overlook his 2016 suspension under MLBs domestic violence policy, which is uncharted territory for Hall candidates. And right now, he simply isnt there. When the Washington Nationals took Stephen Strasburg first overall in the 2009 draft, he was one of the most hyped prospects in the games history. What injury? Im skeptical only because of the history of how the Cardinals do this when a pitcher doesnt pitch, or takes a delay before his next assignment. This year he was so good that he accrued 5.1 WAR (including 0.6 on the offensive side) in his 15 starts before going down, his fourth-highest total. Were not sure if hell be ready by Opening Day, but at this point our priority is to take care of this now so we can have him available for virtually the entire season. Perhaps his national profile and general likability increases due to his seemingly inevitable second act as a broadcasterWainwright received rave reviews as a postseason broadcaster last yearand this media visibility helps him in a media-driven contest such as Hall of Fame balloting. But compared to Molina or especially Pujols, Adam Wainwright is an underdog. By what Ill provisionally call R(eliever)-JAWS, hes climbed from 22nd all-time to 15th, which is still well below the standard for the eight enshrined relievers (29.7). His induction was most likely heavily influenced by his passing, but I think sets the bar for what a pitcher needs to have accomplished in recent years. Adam Wainwright is going to have such an interesting Hall of Fame case once he retires. . He posted a 195-117 record with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.216 WHiP, striking out 2147 batters with 695 walks in his 2567.1 innings. A couple of guys are sore but its OK, everything is fine, nothing to worry about, dont know why the media is making a fuss over this, were just being careful, just holding the pitcher back by a day to be on the safe side, hes looking great, hes getting his work in, theres no need to push it. He was traded to St. Louis in 2003 from the Braves in a deal that saw outfielder J.D. Can Adam Wainwright join St. Louis Cardinals teammates in Hall of Fame? Hell get some work in between now and then, and hopefully that will get him on track. Adam Wainwright (44.0 career | 35.5 Peak | 39.8 JAWS, +2.1 JAWS). The Cardinals trailed 5-0 on a pair of home runs by Tyrone Taylor, but St. Louis rallied to win its 12th straight, 8-5. Aroldis Chapman (18.5 WAR | 19.9 WPA | 12.0 WPA/LI | 16.8 R-JAWS, +0.6 R-JAWS). It airs Monday through Thursday from 3-6 p.m. and Friday from 4-6 p.m. You can listen by streaming online or by downloading the show podcast at 590thefan.com or the 590 app. (Beltran) was frozen on an 0-2 Adam Wainwright curveball with the bases loaded in the bottom of the 9th. During the 2022 regular season, 'Waino' finished with a record of 11-12 and 3.71 ERA in 191.2 innings, while also racking up 143 strikeouts. As for R-JAWS, hes entered the top 20, but as he approaches both his 34th birthday and free agency, the question of how many more years hell be trusted to handle the ninth inning looms. 3rd stage: Well, his arm hasnt rebounded the way we were hoping for, so were just going to shut him down and see how he responds.
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