Similarly, Tennessee was won by Bush in both 2000 and 2004, but going into 2004, its governor was a Democrat and both chambers of the state legislature were controlled by Democrats as well. Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and one district in Maine voted Republican in 2016. Virginia has continued voting for the Democratic presidential nominees (as well as increasingly electing Democrats at the state level), leading to its being reclassified as a blue state in recent years. The paradigm has been criticised on several fronts. So, assuming NYT's 98%+ reporting estimate is correct, Trump got more raw votes out of Washington County like he wanted quite a bit more. Let's continue our tour around the Electoral College. Rural Clinton County, near State College, is the most politically balanced county, with 43 percent Republicans and 43 percent Democrats. [39] In 2008, 48 percent of U.S. voters lived in such counties, which increased further to 50 percent in 2012 and to 61 percent in 2016. You have entered an incorrect email address! The Midwest has five states in the East North Central part of the region and seven in the West North Central. Biden ended up securing a broad Electoral College victory, but only thanks to relatively small margins of victory in key swing states. Democrats, including Biden's campaign, spent a ton of money educating voters about this rule to prevent that. Dane County is home to Madison, the second-largest city in Wisconsin. (lighter shading indicates win 5%), Winner received plurality of the vote but did not receive an outright majority of the popular vote Electoral votes invalidated. We and our partners use data for Personalised ads and content, ad and content measurement, audience insights and product development. Holly If Biden loses Fla, North Carolina and Georgia, his so-called greater Midwest certainly includes winning Pennsylvania. [1] Examining patterns within states reveals that the reversal of the two parties' geographic bases has happened at the state level, but it is more complicated locally, with urban-rural divides associated with many of the largest changes.[2]. Holly Ready to hear what you have to say on Pennsylvania! Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state, although it voted Democratic in the six elections prior to 2016. That year, the crime rate was 3,620.15 crimes per . Seven months into the coronavirus crisis, the states with the most severe unemployment in the country all seem to have one thing in common: They vote blue. [7] The parties themselves had no official colors, with candidates variously using either or both of the national color palette of red and blue (white being unsuitable for printed materials). [1] The feature proved to be so popular that, four years later, all three major television networks used colors to designate the states won by the presidential candidates, though not all using the same color scheme. Getting at the red mirage idea, if we dont get Atlanta and big GA burbs, and some major blue areas of Wisconsin and Pennsylvania its easy to see Trumps lead holding for now or staying closer than they should end up. President-elect Joseph R. Biden Jr. took back Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin by surging in the suburbs. Election officials were not permitted by law to begin counting mail-in ballots in the state until today, so we may not know the presidential election results here for days. However, as inGeorgia, the majority of Biden's gains came from larger vote margins in counties that also voted Democratic in 2016. Cartograms developed by Gastner, Shalizi, and Newman at the University of Michigan provide another way to depict election results,[28] which change from a red-blue paradigm to one of shades of purple.[29]. Mail ballot processing starts on Election Day. Traditional political mapmakers, at least throughout the 20th century, had used blue to represent the modern-day Republicans, as well as the earlier Federalist Party. Biden's success could be attributed to many factors. It feels like the new Florida. Youve Answered Lifes Questions. While they may have voted for Biden in 2020, they did so by margins smaller than his. polls closed in Ala., Conn., Del., D.C., Fla., Ill., Maine, Md., Mass., Miss., Mo., N.H., N.J., Okla., Pa., R.I., Tenn. polls closed in Ga., Ind., Ky., S.C., Vt., Va. Presidential results by pre-election forecasted chances, Georgia Senate elections live updates: Jon Ossoff projected to win Ga. Senate seat, ABC News projects Ossoff victory over Perdue, Raffensperger escorted out of state Capitol building, says deputy secretary of state, Here are Georgia's election certification deadlines, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. On August 5, the risk of death in red states was 1.8 times higher than in blue. This may have been a holdover from the Civil War, during which the predominantly Republican north was considered "blue". Former Governor Ed Rendell gives his take. Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. While all of these issues are concerning, none of them are too far out of the ordinary for issues that arise during any normal election year and this year was far from normal, with many expecting the worst in terms of potential disruptions and possibleconflict.". Sen. Cory Gardner is now the only. But also, the early voter turnout we're seeing has been - seems to have been a factor. We and our partners use cookies to Store and/or access information on a device. But, in the coming days, Pennsylvania underwent what has come to be known as a "blue shift." Democrats had requested more mail-in ballots than Republicans had by a margin of two to one. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. While I had less reporting on this, high turnout was also reported in the red parts of the state, too. Pennsylvanias demographic makeup has not altered dramatically in just four short years. Due to the general absence of overwhelming victories, this technique results in mostly shades. The blue states scored better two ways higher overall average rankings vs. red states (No. ", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Red_states_and_blue_states&oldid=1142683256, This page was last edited on 3 March 2023, at 20:42. Idaho solidifies its ranking as a top retirement state by offering many tax breaks for seniors. The 21st-century association of colors in American politics is contrary to the long-standing conventions of political color in most other countries whereby red symbols (such as the red flag or red star) are associated with leftist politics. If you're curious how long the streak is for each state, visit our 'Same Since' Electoral Map Timeline. So first, I'm looking to see what exactly we learn tonight and how quickly local governments across the state are able to process mail ballots. In April 2008, Republican presidential nominee John McCain predicted that the presidential election that November would not follow the red-state-blue-state pattern, saying, "I'm not sure that the old red state, blue state scenario that prevailed for the last several elections works. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? [45][46] Red states and blue states are states that typically vote for the Republican and Democratic parties, respectively. But in 2016, although Hillary Clinton won Latino voters by roughly 30 points, turnout was remarkably . Secondly, I'm looking to see if we get a sense tonight of how many "naked ballots" there are in the state. They propose partition of the U.S. as a way of allowing both groups to achieve their policy goals while reducing the chances of civil war. Special elections, if any, are excluded. I just got off the phone with the City Commissioners office in Philadelphia, and they told me that all the machines that process mail ballots are up and running and that things are going smoothly. Richard C. Young is the editor of Young's World Money Forecast, and a contributing editor to both Richardcyoung.com and Youngresearch.com. We worship an awesome God in the blue states, and we don't like federal agents poking around our libraries in the red states. After the 2004 election, Vanderbei and then others made similar maps summarizing the results. elections. Electoral law in Maine and Nebraska makes it possible for those states to divide their electoral votes: winner-take-all both by congressional district and statewide. State voted with the overall winning candidate. In fact, he said, some states may experience a "red shift," and even Pennsylvania's blue shift may change in the future as different voters adapt to the new absentee ballot system and counties that used to process them on election night stop doing so. But Pennsylvania is now red. If . While Hillary Clinton dominated in Philadelphia, winning 82%, she only took a 475,000-vote edge out of the city, compared Barack Obamas 492,000 vote advantage in 2012. Out of. On March 14, 2014, the California Republican Party officially rejected red and adopted blue as its color. Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Some precincts reported mechanical problems or ran out of supplies. The "Democratic blue" and "Republican red" color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. Pennsylvania Joe Biden's projected win in his native state of Pennsylvania put him past the 270 total electoral votes needed to win the presidency. More married men voted for McCain, but more single men voted for Obama. [34][35][36], In 1976, only 27 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties, which increased to 39 percent by 1992. An email has been sent to with a link to confirm list signup. Not one! Given the general nature and common perception of the two parties, "red state" implies a conservative region or a more conservative American, and "blue state" implies a more liberal region or a more liberal American. They think even if it moved a few votes it could be enough to win thestate. To win in 2016, Donald Trump broke through some of the 'blue wall' of 242 electoral votes that had voted Democratic in each presidential election since at least 1992. During the Bush administration, the red-blue map was criticized by some[31] for exaggerating the perceived support for President Bush. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. Gray indicates available electoral votes that were either not cast or cast for a candidate not on the ballot. 7%78%Median of all states 28%// State data highlighted23%Pennsylvania Median income Pennsylvania's median household. Election maps often use a two-class color scheme (red and blue), which results in a map that is easy to read but is very generalized. Democrats' new logo: Change you can sell? But I've got news for them, too. So how does all that look visually? Thats a point that they made. Various editorials[43][44] have proposed that states of the U.S. secede and then form federations only with states that have voted for the same political party. Sen. Bob Casey and local Democratic Party leaders also said there was massive turnout in the Philadelphia suburbs, which would be a win for Biden. While the presidential election in Texas was said to be more competitive this year . Where the 'Blue Wall' Was Strongest, and Where Cracks Appeared. But what they didn't realize was that Trump was surging in rural parts of the state and flipping some swing counties like the ones mentionedabove. .mw-parser-output .citation{word-wrap:break-word}.mw-parser-output .citation:target{background-color:rgba(0,127,255,0.133)}^1: Split their votes. Tennessee. "Amerika whlt Spiegel Online Nachrichten", "The Urban Archipelago: It's the Cities, Stupid", Choosing colors based on incumbent vs. challenger victory from November, 2004, The Honky Tonk Gap: Country Music, Red State Identity, and the Election of 2004, "Re-imagining the Red States: New Directions for Southern Studies.
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