What are some fun things to do in the winter in Arizona? As if unprecedented flash flooding during this years monsoon season wasnt enough to deal with, it looks like Arizona might get a little reprieve from extreme weather in the winter. Our weather forecast can give you a great sense of what weather to expect in Arizona in January 2024. A Strong 2024 La Nina and a new "Cold Pacific Ocean Phase" will usher in Dangerous . Expect snowy days, but not as many as we usually see (which isn't great for this whole drought situation we're in). The La Nia weather phenomenon is expected to extend through winter for the third year in a row, bringing below-average rain and snow and above-average temperatures. At least a somewhat colder February is also possible in the Pacific Northwest, Northern California and the central Plains. The Tucson International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 1.27" which is around a third of an inch above normal and ranks as the 37th wettest December on record. 12News+ showcases live video throughout the day for breaking news, local news, weather and even an occasional moment of Zen showcasing breathtaking sights from across Arizona. For a more accurate weather forecast please select a city, Click on a day for an hourly weather forecast, Royal Palms Resort and Spa, part of Hyatt. In my long range forecast for the season, I predicted 7-14 of rainfall with a likelihood of 10-14. Man shoots, kills victim outside of a Phoenix . Weather forecasts that start where the others stop. Officially the Tucson International airport recorded 1.82", which is around eight-tenths of an inch below normal and ranks as the 48th driest Winter season on record. This ranks as the 13th driest Fall on record. Arctic 2022 Summer - Coldest on Record. According to the Farmers Almanac winter weather forecast for Arizona, the 2022-2023 winter season will be a milder affair this year though drier than average, too. Some of our favorite winter destinations in Arizona include the adorable little town of Flagstaff, the amazing Mount Lemmon in southern Arizona (the drive up alone is incredible), and mountain towns like Payson and Prescott. Temperatures: Below Average, Arizona NWS Tucson Arizona520 North Park Ave, Suite 304Tucson, AZ 85719(520) 670-6526Comments? including sunrise/sunset and moon phases. The possibilities are all there you just need to discover them. The Tucson International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, has recorded 1.80" which is four-tenths of an inch below normal and ranks as the 57th driest first quarter of the water year on record. A record cool high temperature was set on the 24th with a high of 67 breaking the record of 68 from 1936 & 1978. BOOKMARK THE MAIN WEBSITE BY CLICKING HERE. Please Contact Us. Temperature extremes ranged from a high of 111 on June 16th to a low of 66 on June 5th. How to get these alerts with a premium subscription via e-mail by micro-climate zone AND/OR Get the GPS models for all events on your device enabled? Temperature extremes ranged from 111 on June 16th to 65 on September 17th. A high minimum temperature of 75 on the 27th set a new daily record, eclipsing the old record of 73 from 1963 & 1989. The Spring seasonal forecast for the area, issued February 17th, called for a 46% chance of above normal temperatures & a 42% chance of below normal precipitation. Tracking NFL Coaches Fired After 2022 Season Kliff Kingsbury and Lovie Smith are the latest NFL head coaches to be fired By Max Molski Published January 9, 2023 Updated on January 9, 2023 . The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 35% chance that they will end up above normal and a 32% chance that they will end up below normal. With that being said, the colder than normal temperatures are already being felt in both regions. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 57% chance that they will end up above normal and a 10% chance that they will end up below normal. June climate data across southeast Arizona, Summer climate data across southeast Arizona. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration But when will it really start? The seasonal average temperature of 55.3 goes into the record books as the 13th warmest on record, tied with Winter 1942-1943 & last winter. See more current weather Annual Weather Averages in Sedona Airport Sedona Airport is 29 miles from Arizona, so the actual climate in Arizona can vary a bit. . Weather wise, is January a good time to visit Arizona? Phoenix Weather Forecast for November 2022 is based on . All NOAA. Winter temperatures are once again expected to be split between a warmer than average South and colder than average North, with colder risks in parts of the East. Our Office; Monsoon; Monsoon Safety; SE Arizona drought page; . But there's a potential curveball with La Nia this winter. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area with totals ranging from 0.20" to 1.75" with localized higher amounts to 2.50". Give Light and the People Will Find Their Own Way. The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be above normal and a 33% chance that they will end up below normal. Please select one of the following: Tucson, AZ Standard Radar (low bandwidth), NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Copyright 2021 Scripps Media, Inc. All rights reserved. That contrasts sharply with a likely warmer-than-usual February along the northern Gulf Coast, including Florida. On your phone:Download the 12News app for the latest local breaking news straight to your phone. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 100 on the 26th to a low of 39 on the 13th. The last year in which Tucson waited until April to set/tied a record temperature was back in 2010. Winter could pound the Northeast with a vengeance starting in mid-December before potentially intensifying in January,. The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be above normal and a 33% chance that they will end up below normal. CLICK HERE TO GO, The following articles were talked about in this write-up, November 5, 2021 WARNING: Long-range forecasts are rarely accurate. If you're looking forward to snow, mark January on your calendars. Areas south of the storm track (much of the Southeast) will see frequent storms bringing cold rains and a wintry mix . account_box Log in person_add Join settings Settings Sensor Network Maps & Radar Severe Weather News & Blogs Mobile Apps Historical Weather star 36.91 N, 111.46 W Keep in mind this outlook is an overall three-month trend. It begins just at the backend. And for only the 9th time since 1895, rainfall was recorded on both New Year's Eve & Day with the most recent being in 2018-19 & 2016-17. The average yearly temperature, through the end of June, of 68.5 is 1.3 above normal and ranks as the 7th warmest on record. According to its forecast map, Arizona's fall theme will be cool with "decent precipitation." Peter Geiger, the editor of the Farmers' Almanac, said there wasn't much particularly interesting. The February outlook for the area, issued by the Climate Prediction Center on January 31st, called for a 47% chance that temperatures would be above normal & 20% chance that temperatures would be below normal. The combined two-day rainfall totals for New Year's Eve/Day across the metro area ranged from 0.50" to 1.50" with the bulk of the rain occurring on New Year's Eve. The cooling of these waters can have an atmospheric domino effect that influences weather patterns across the globe. On the precipitation side, the forecast leaned toward below normal at a 45% chance. Ninety-nine percent of the state is experiencing some level of drought with more than half of the state experiencing an Exceptional drought, which is the worst level. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high 94 on the 3rd to a low of 43 on the 25th. On top of that, conditions change so rapidly from week to week that making predictions is as good as visiting a fortune teller. Kristin Murphy, Deseret News Flannel, hot chocolate and snowshoes are in the winter forecast from the Farmers' Almanac, which is predicting a shivery 2022-2023 winter for most of the United States. The 2021-22 water year ended up on the dry side with 6.97" being reported at the airport. Last winter, Boston finished the season with. . A warmer February is also possible from the mid-Atlantic states into the rest of the Southeast, Southern Plains westward into New Mexico and eastern Arizona. Rain and snow are moving across our state as we ring in the new year. Saturday marks the peak of the warming trend and temperatures will slowly decline throughout the next week. Our forecasts are not direct predictions of rain/snow. November 2022 to October 2023 Winter will be warmer than normal, with above-normal precipitation. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 111 on the 16th to a low of 66 on the 5th. Rainfall occurred across the metro area over three time periods during the month. It's the 13th April with ZERO rainfall. Additionally the airport monthly total extended the streak of below normal rainfall for March to "18" straight. There were six days of triple digit high temperatures which is slightly above normal. The average yearly temperature through the end of November of 72.9 ranks as the 11th warmest on record. All rights reserved. Additionally this is the fifteenth April in the past seventeen that the airport recorded below normal rainfall. So what's in store? The Tucson International airport, the official recording location in Tucson, recorded 4.94" which ranks as the 46th driest monsoon on record. Rainfall totals across the metro area ranged from 4" to 10" with localized higher amounts up to 15". Three temperature records (one high & two warm lows) were set or tied. 47.9 Degrees C is 118.2 degrees F. Wow! No matter which part of Arizona youre from (or plan to visit), winter is a great time to arrive. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from a tenth of an inch to 1" with localized areas recording between 1" and 1.60". This month the airport recorded 9 days which is the highest amount dating back to 1948. The Climate Prediction Center forecast for Fall 2022 called for a 46% chance of above normal temperatures and a 22% chance of below normal temperatures. About the author Related Posts Farmers' Almanac Staff The last time back-to-back Octobers' were BELOW normal was back in the 1980's when there was a string of SEVEN straight BELOW normal Octobers' from 1980 to 1986. Amounts ranged from 4" to 9" with localized higher amounts up to 14". The previous two occurrences were in 1984 & 2010. Get Downloadable Images and More Here. The atmosphere's response, which ultimately matters for our weather patterns, may resemble a winter without a La Nia. Nov. 17, 2022 Finally. On average, there are 0 snowy days in Arizona in January. MAIN WEBSITE: Dont forget. This is when you get these delivered to your e-mail of choosing AND get your own micro-climate alert system based on your zone for my winter and storm alert products that are not posted on social media when issued. Editor's note: The above video aired during a previous year's forecast. While there were no companion predictions for central and southern Arizona, Geiger said the cold from the north will likely permeate the south, making it comparatively cold for the states lower deserts. According to its forecast map, Arizonas fall theme will be cool with decent precipitation.. 27, 2022 The posted Quail Forever forecast of a bird hatch in NM and AZ is pretty bleak with drought conditions continuing throughout the Southwest. There are indications that weak cutoff systems under the raging jet could bring more precipitation to Tucson than say even Phoenix, but the amount just doesnt look so high, but bears watching for that area sometime mid-month. The second Pacific storm of the month moved across the area on the 12th bringing with it widespread valley rain and mountain snow. Discover our growing collection of curated stories on Washington State. What is the chance of rain in Arizona in January? (100 percent delivery time) These were the first record temperatures set/tied in 2022. Toggle navigation. Detailed Phoenix Weather Forecast for November 2022 - day/night temperatures, precipitations - World-Weather.info. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 4.13" which ranks as the 52nd driest Summer on record. READ MORE Monday, March 28, 2022 Flagstaff Weather -- March 28, 2022 I think we do a pretty good job, Geiger said. The average Fall temperature of 71.3 is 1.0 below the 1991-2020 normal. While this isn't always the case every time La Nia is present, it is representative of the average impacts. One daily temperature record was set. Best for planning. Toggle navigation. CLIMAS_report_2022_final.pdf Southwest Climate Outlook October 2022 One temperature record was set during the month when the high of 85 on the 19th set a daily cool high record, besting the old record of 86 from 1966. The number could've been higher as there were eight days that recorded a high of 99. The official start of fall is only about a month away, with the Autumn Equinox on Sept. 22. The first five months were rather dry with the airport only recording 0.67" or 2" below normal. Dry conditions prevailed from the 11th to the 14th before an upper level low moved across the area bringing scattered showers, isolated thunderstorms and small hail on the 15th & 16th. The monthly average temperature of 89.1 is 3.0 ABOVE normal and ranks as the 5th warmest June on record. These drought conditions developed after a drier-than-normal 2020 monsoon season and a dry 2020/2021 winter season. Monthly Weather - Phoenix, AZ As of 7:03 am MST Feb View Apr Sun mon tue wed thu fri sat 26 57 37 27 63 42 28 63 48 1 62 37 2 55 41 3 60 39 4 67 44 Fri 03 | Day 60 2% SW 5 mph. For more detailed information, click the link below. 2022 monsoon season in Arizona expected to be above-normal - good news for state agriculture . No rain was recorded across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS. On average, there are 1 rainy days in Arizona during January. The 2022-2023 U.S. Winter Outlook map for precipitation shows wetter-than-average conditions are most likely in western Alaska, the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies, Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. Dry and warmer temperatures were on tap from the 17th to the 22nd. Global Warming Begins at the Poles - Ends at the Poles 2022-2024. Add the current city. Its the best time of year to visit if youre a fan of hiking, for example. According to the Farmers' Almanac (in publication since 1818), states in . The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 43% chance that they will end up above normal and a 24% chance that they will end up below normal. This has also occurred in August 1963 & February 1905. The seasonal average temperature of 71.0 goes into the record books as the 5th warmest Spring on record. Updated 7:08PM Weather Associated Press 2022 was 5th warmest year on record 2022 has officially been declared the fifth warmest year on record. The recently released NOAA U.S. Winter Outlook made the predictions Thursday, bringing the news that widespread extreme drought is expected to persist throughout the West. The Weather Companys primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. Our outlook has the highest confidence of a cold February in the Northern Plains and upper Midwest. Drought, wildfires, heat and monsoon storms: Arizona has seen its fair share of severe weather. Tell us your thoughts in the comments section below, then check out how beautiful the Grand Canyon in winter is. The 2022-2023 U.S. Winter Outlook map for precipitation shows wetter-than-average conditions are most likely in western Alaska, the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies, Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. AccuWeather long-range forecasters are predicting that 40 to 50 inches will accumulate in the city, around the average snowfall amount of 49.2 inches. KNXV According to the CPC, there is a 66% chance that. One exception was the pandemic year of 2020, when travel all but came to a. La Nia - the periodic cooling of the equatorial Pacific Ocean waters - is in play as one of the primary drivers for the winter outlook once again this year. However, this ingredient in the forecast cannot be predicted until winter is in progress. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a half an inch (0.50") with a localized spots, especially in the foothills, recording up to nine-tenths of an inch (0.90"). Click on the image to the right to see how 2022 compared to the historical record. The monthly average temperature of 85.8 is 1.1 BELOW normal ranks as the 38th warmest August on record. December climate data across southeast Arizona, Winter climate data across southeast Arizona. Includes Daily Risk of Precipitation, High/Low/Average Temperatures, Heating/Cooling Degree Days and Growing Degree Days, Transition Day Start or End of a Risky Period. September climate data across southeast Arizona, Fall climate data across southeast Arizona, September records more triple digit high temperatures than August. Wildfires send smoke as temperatures near 100 degrees. March climate data across southeast Arizona, Spring climate data across southeast Arizona. The monthly average temperature of 54.0 is 1.0 ABOVE normal and ranks as the 25th warmest December on record, tied with 1995. Over the last 14 days there was only one day that was above normal. NWS Tucson Arizona. The yearly total to date currently stands as the 7th driest year with one month left in 2022. La Nia refers to cooler-than-normal sea surface temperatures in the central and east-central Pacific Ocean, near the equator. A generally colder than usual winter is expected in the northern tier of states. Detailed Weather Forecast for February 8 in Az Zubayr, Mufazat al Barah, Iraq - temperature, wind, atmospheric pressure, humidity and precipitations - World-Weather.info . The forecast for precipitation is a 49% chance that they will be up below normal and a 18% chance that they will end up above normal. HOME > Outlook Maps >Seasonal Forecast Discussion. The high temperature of 82 on the 20th marked the first August since 2007 that recorded back-to-back days with highs in the 80's. This is because the jet stream, or storm track, stays to the north of our area, essentially making for wetter-than-normal conditions across the Pacific Northwest, but drier than normal conditions for the Desert Southwest. The average yearly temperature is below normal for the calendar year through the end of March for the first time since 2017 and the fourth time this century (2001 & 2013). All NOAA. Two daily record temperatures were set during the month. As we mentioned above, one of the best things to do in Arizona in the winter is camping and/or hiking, but of course, there are more! The monthly average temperature of 84.7 is just under 2 above normal and ranks as the 4th warmest September on record, tied with 2010. NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022; Local Programs. Areas from the Gulf Coast to the Southern Plains and mountain West are most favored to see above-average temperatures for the entire three-month winter period from December through February, according to an outlook released Thursday by The Weather Company, an IBM Business, and Atmospheric G2. The Official NOAA Winter Outlook for 2022-2023 has been released and as of right now the odds are slightly tilted towards below normal precipitation and above normal temperatures for the desert. This is a quite a difference from a year ago when the airport recorded 13.84" of rain through the end of October. In central Arizona, its mild and fair, and sometimes rainy. Arizona winters aren't known for being white or cold, but this is getting ridiculous. Mostly cloudy. HOT TOPIC: 2021-2022 Seasonal Weather Forecast Released For Southwestern United States; Detailed Maps and Discussion Within, November 29, 2021 Today, Katie writes for the Texas and Arizona pages of OnlyInYourState.com and has never been more passionate about a job before. The exception is the summer thunderstorm season where the forecast for precipitation is a 36% chance that they will be above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. This ranks as the 55th wettestOctober on record, tied with 1941. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issued a La Nia Watch on Thursday for the potential re-emergence of La Nia conditions by the fall. NWS Tucson Arizona520 North Park Ave, Suite 304Tucson, AZ 85719(520) 670-6526Comments? No blocking means that we will continue to get the colder air out of the west in both regions of Southern California and Arizona, but it also means much drier conditions. Fetch the Scottsdale, Arizona daily observations from AerisWeather. Which City Is the Worst for Fall Allergies This Year? Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly less than a tenth an inch /0.10"/ with localized totals up to a third of an inch /0.33"/, especially near Vail and on the northwest side of the metro area. Rainfall amounts were mostly between 0.25" and 0.75". NOTE: The Winter 2022 Tier for MEMBERS and ANYONE INTERESTED is OPEN FOR JANUARY THROUGH END FEBRUARY WITH REDUCED SEASONAL TIER RATES. The average yearly temperature, through the end of August, of 73.5 is 1.0 above normal and ranks as the 6th warmest on record. So here is the breakdown If you want to fix your roof, this is the best month to do so just in-case feb/mar/apr become active again, Southern California Sorry, the location you searched for was not found. How do you feel about the upcoming milder, drier (especially drier than this last monsoon season, hoo boy) winter we might have? Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.67" is 1.81" BELOW normal & ranks as the 9th driest January through April period on record. There should be no reason you shouldnt be informed. My model is showing drier than normal conditions for most of California, majorly drier than normal for Southern California than Northern. The deep monsoonal moisture that was over the area for most of the month started to dry out during the last week of the month under a drier upper air pattern. The periodical says it. RELATED: La Nina is here and it's not good news for Arizona's drought, The Official NOAA Winter Outlook for 2022-2023 has been released and as of right now the odds are slightly tilted towards below normal precipitation and above normal temperatures for the desert southwest. BOOKMARK THE MAIN WEBSITE BY CLICKING HERE. For an oddity record, the eight days with a high of 99 is the most on record for the month of August & any calendar month dating back to 1895. In a couple of words: its nice! During the first 16 days of the month, no below normal highs were recorded. The forecast for precipitation is a 36% chance that they will be above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. In the U.S., La Nia typically means a colder than average winter in northern and western parts of the country, and a warmer South and East. Check out some of our favorite places to go camping in Arizona for inspiration. Colder weather is predicted to come in between Nov. 16 and 19 and settle in for good come Nov. 24 to 27. Check out the full 2022-23 Extended Winter Weather Forecast from The Farmer's Almanac below. The monthly average temperature of 54.3 is seven-tenths of a degree above normal and ranks as the 17th warmest January on record. Meanwhile, the Southwest and much of the Rockies are most likely to see December end up warmer than usual. Looking ahead into February The Climate Prediction Center forecasts a 47% chance of above normal temperatures and a 45% chance of below normal precipitation. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.67" is 1.57" BELOWnormal & ranks as the 14th driest January through March period on record. CLICK HERE TO LEARN MORE AND SIGN-UP Take control of your data. The Winter seasonal forecast for the area, issued November 18th, called for a 41% chance of above normal temperatures & a 48% chance of below normal precipitation. Southern Arizona is a mixed bag in the winter sometimes you can get a nice, mild winter or a chilly, snowy one! In northern Arizona, its snowy and chilly, though usually still quite dry. Click Here To Join The Season Tier, Join The Main Arizona Weather Force Facebook Group (50 percent delivery time) You can join the main AZWF page as well through that group. WeatherTAB Flagstaff, Arizona Help C F. If you hear rain or anything is coming to the area. Weekly sea-surface temperature anomalies in degrees Celsius from early Sept. through early Oct. 2022. 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec December Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun 1 +68 +59 2 +68 +55 3 +61 +59 4 +64 +61 5 +66 +55 6 +66 +52 7 +64 Scattered light showers and high elevation mountain snow occurred on the evening of the 23rd and the morning of the 24th were associated with a passing cold front. The Climate Assessment for the Southwest (CLIMAS), a well-established and innovative inter- and transdisciplinary climate research team, is looking for a Program Manager to join our team. The seasonal average dew point value was 19. You'll receive your first newsletter soon! This ranks as the 16th driest first half of the water year period on record. The last day of 2022 was dry with afternoon temperatures in the upper 60's to lower 70's. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM. ajgarrison - Flickr Questions? Essentially, the formula uses sunspot activity andthe effect the moon has on the earth to be able to predict weather about two years in advance. Could Arizona be in for another dry winter, leading to even worse drought conditions? March 2023; April 2023; May 2023; June 2023; July 2023; August 2023 . . Click on the images below for the year, monthly and seasonal snapshots! The video covers both precipitation and temperature predictions, polar vortex, arctic blasts, typical snowfall, and regions that will see wamr and dry conditions for winter 2022 - 2023. 3rd Coldest January- February on Record in 2021. Please select one of the following: Tucson, AZ Standard Radar (low bandwidth), NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Welcome back to the site after the holiday week. This is in sharp contrast to the previous water year which was rather wet with the airport recording 14.23". Five record high minimum (low) temperatures were set or tied during the month. Dallas Area Storms Cause Power Transformer To Explode, Cold Or Flu? Amounts ranged from 3" to 8" with localized higher amounts up to 12". The wather in Arizona in January can vary between cold and nice weather days.